BIS Survey Warns of Potential Threat to Financial Stability from Crypto and Stablecoins
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A recent survey conducted by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has raised concerns about the potential threat to financial stability posed by widespread usage of cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. The survey indicates that central banks are increasingly considering the issuance of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in response to these challenges. However, not all central banks are convinced of the necessity of a state-backed digital currency at this time. Survey Highlights Risks Associated with Crypto and Stablecoins The BIS survey reveals that if cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins, are widely adopted for payments, they could pose a threat to financial stability. In response to these risks, international organizations such as the CPMI, IOSCO, FSB, and BCBS have published updated guidance and standards to strengthen and coordinate regulatory approaches to mitigate these risks. Growing Interest in CBDCs Despite the challenges posed by cryptocurrencies, the survey indicates that the number of central banks planning to introduce CBDCs has doubled since last year. Currently, almost a quarter of all central banks globally are piloting a retail CBDC, and it is expected that over two dozen state-backed digital currencies will be launched by 2030. Different Types of CBDCs and their Future Launches CBDCs are digital versions of a nation's currency issued by the central bank. Similar to stablecoins, which peg their value to fiat currency, CBDCs have already been introduced by countries such as Nigeria, Jamaica, the Bahamas, and the Eastern Caribbean. The survey suggests that by the end of the decade, 15 consumer-facing retail CBDCs and nine wholesale CBDCs, designed for interbank transactions, will be launched worldwide in both emerging and established economies. Crypto Assets Accelerate CBDC Development The emergence and proliferation of stablecoins and other crypto assets have expedited the development of CBDCs, according to 60% of the surveyed central banks. However, despite this acceleration, not all central banks are convinced of the immediate need for a state-backed digital currency. The survey reveals a clear divergence, with some central banks indicating an increased likelihood of issuing a CBDC within the next three years, while others are less inclined to do so. Uncertainty Surrounding CBDCs in the United States The United States remains undecided about pursuing a CBDC. A recent statement by a U.S. Treasury official confirmed that the country has not yet determined its stance on a digital currency. In contrast, the state of Florida has banned CBDCs, expressing skepticism and referring to them as "Big Brother's digital dollar." Conclusion The BIS survey highlights the potential risks to financial stability associated with widespread usage of cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. In response, central banks are considering the issuance of CBDCs, with many already piloting or planning to introduce their own digital currencies. However, there is a divergence in opinions among central banks regarding the necessity and timing of CBDC implementation. The United States, in particular, remains undecided about pursuing a CBDC, while Florida has taken a skeptical stance by banning such digital currencies. As the crypto landscape evolves, regulatory coordination and careful assessment of risks will be crucial to ensure the stability of the financial system. Title #6: Unusual Activity in Crypto and Debt Markets: Rising Interest Payments and Increased Bitcoin Withdrawals Thumbnail Title: Unusual Activity in Crypto: Rising Interest Payments and Bitcoin Withdrawals Article: A recent video titled "STRANGE Things Happening In Crypto Right NOW!" by Merlin has shed light on some peculiar developments in the crypto and debt space. The video highlights rising interest payments, exponential growth in Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges, and other noteworthy observations. Let's delve into the details: Weird Developments in Crypto and Debt Space The video points out that Bitcoin is trading at $26k on certain platforms, such as Binance US, while it is priced at $30k elsewhere. This discrepancy suggests market makers leaving the US for better treatment in other countries, leading to disparities in Bitcoin prices across different exchanges. Rising Interest Payments on an Exponential Curve Interest payments are on track to reach a staggering one trillion dollars this year. The video emphasizes that currency printing has reached an all-time high in US history, yet many people are more concerned about tightening measures rather than the actual situation at hand. This exponential growth in interest payments raises concerns about the sustainability and long-term implications for the economy. Increased Bitcoin Withdrawals and Autonomy Over the past six months, nearly half a million Bitcoins have been withdrawn from exchanges. The video suggests that this trend may continue, especially with the recent developments surrounding Binance, as more individuals seek to hold their assets independently and avoid potential risks associated with exchanges. The rise of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the perceived lack of autonomy on centralized platforms are likely contributing factors to this increased withdrawal activity. The Potential of Bitcoin and Future Havings The video highlights that currently, only 10% of all havings (Bitcoin halvings) have occurred, indicating that there is still a long way to go in terms of Bitcoin's potential growth. As more havings take place, the scarcity of Bitcoin will increase, potentially driving its value higher. It is emphasized that 90% of all havings are yet to be created, suggesting ample room for Bitcoin's growth in the future. Currency Printing and Exponential Growth Currency printing to pay off interest has led to an exponential growth cycle. As more currency is created, it paves the way for even more currency creation in the future. This cycle raises concerns about the long-term stability of fiat currencies and highlights one of the key motivations behind the popularity and potential of decentralized cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The Current Bull Market and Price Expectations The video notes that the current bull market may be disliked by many individuals who are waiting for lower prices to enter the market. However, the video highlights that the bottom was called in November of the previous year, indicating that there is still significant potential for growth and an upward trajectory in the crypto market. Conclusion Unusual activity in crypto and debt markets, as highlighted in the video, underscores the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency industry. Rising interest payments, increasing Bitcoin withdrawals, and the potential for significant growth in the market raise important considerations for investors and observers alike. As the crypto market evolves, it will be crucial to closely monitor these developments and their potential impact on the overall financial landscape.